ISSUE 08
LIVEPythonClaude APIMCPFlask
CONTEXT
Kalshi's weather markets mis-price short-dated temperature contracts when forecast distributions disagree with market-implied probabilities.
BUILD
Pulls multi-source forecasts from NWS, HRRR, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, calculates probability distributions for temperature buckets, and places maker NO orders when edge exceeds thresholds.Claude-powered agents scan markets every 30 minutes with position recovery and risk management.A separate BTC latency-arbitrage strategy reacts to Coinbase WebSocket price moves faster than Kalshi can reprice.APScheduler drives the engine, SQLAlchemy persists state, and a Flask dashboard surfaces real-time P&L.
RESULT
Runs autonomously with daily outcome tracking that feeds back into agent decisions.Real capital at stake.
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